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Colorful Language: Investigating the Interpretation of the Storm Prediction Center's Convective Outlook by Broadcast Meteorologists and the US Public
(2020-07-30)
Though severe weather forecast products, such as the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) convective outlook, have shown to be significantly more accurate than climatology at day-to-week time scales, tornadoes and severe thunderstorms ...
Defining a Relatively Normal Tornado Day: An Exploration of the Climatology and Potential Use of Relative Risk Forecasts for Tornadoes
(2023-08-04)
The risks posed by rare and severe weather events are both the most impactful to the public and the most difficult to communicate, due to their low absolute probability of occurrence but high impact at a given point. Recent ...